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macro

International Trade Policy: Game of Chicken
Since their respective highs on February 19, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have fallen -13.7% and -19.3% through Friday, April 4....
Event-Driven.blog
Apr 73 min read
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No Trump Put, For Now?
The market narrative during the last month has been consistent with the expectation we shared in our last client letter, that policy...
Event-Driven.blog
Mar 123 min read
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Fed Policy & Market Whipsaw
Despite the fact that many leading economic indicators in recent years have been warning that a recession was just on the horizon, 2024...
Event-Driven.blog
Jan 203 min read
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Take a Look Under the Event-Driven Hood
Every month, our two favorite event-driven portfolio managers (both sporting 5 Stars on Morningstar in the 1, 3, 5, AND 10-year...
Event-Driven.blog
Jan 71 min read
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Unemployment, Recessions, and the S&P 500
Last month, we explained that interest rates were expected to stay higher for longer because inflation had become stubborn. Core PCE was...
Event-Driven.blog
Jun 27, 20243 min read
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Higher for Longer | Early Signs of Pain
Interest rates will stay higher for longer. Following its April 30-May 1 meeting, the FOMC made clear that inflation has not sufficiently...
Event-Driven.blog
May 15, 20243 min read
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